← Back to Current Picks
Overall Performance Summary
Combined Record
53.60%
143-124 (267 games total)
Spreads
55.10%
70-57 across 11 weeks
Totals
52.10%
73-67 across 11 weeks
Performance by Model Era
| Era |
Weeks |
Spreads Record |
Spreads % |
Totals Record |
Totals % |
Combined Record |
Combined % |
| Pre-DVOA |
5 weeks |
26-24 |
52.00% |
32-31 |
50.80% |
58-55 |
51.30% |
| DVOA Era |
6 weeks |
44-33 |
57.10% |
41-36 |
53.20% |
85-69 |
55.20% |
DVOA Integration Impact: Integrating DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) statistics in Week 10 improved combined performance from 51.30% to 55.20%. The DVOA era shows stronger spreads performance (+5.1 percentage points) while totals remain comparable (+2.4 percentage points).
Week-by-Week Results
| Week |
Era |
Spreads Record |
Spreads % |
Totals Record |
Totals % |
Combined Record |
Combined % |
Model Versions |
| Week 5 |
Pre-DVOA |
4-6 |
40.00% |
8-5 |
61.50% |
12-11 |
52.20% |
v3.0 / v1.0 |
| Week 6 |
Pre-DVOA |
6-4 |
60.00% |
6-8 |
42.90% |
12-12 |
50.00% |
v8.0 / v2.0 |
| Week 7 |
Pre-DVOA |
8-2 |
80.00% |
7-6 |
53.80% |
15-8 |
65.20% |
v8.0 / v2.0 |
| Week 8 |
Pre-DVOA |
2-8 |
20.00% |
6-5 |
54.50% |
8-13 |
38.10% |
v8.1 / v3.1 |
| Week 9 |
Pre-DVOA |
6-4 |
60.00% |
5-7 |
41.70% |
11-11 |
50.00% |
v8.1 / v3.1 |
| Week 10 |
DVOA Era |
9-3 |
75.00% |
7-5 |
58.30% |
16-8 |
66.70% |
DVOA / DVOA |
| Week 11 |
DVOA Era |
9-5 |
64.30% |
10-4 |
71.40% |
19-9 |
67.90% |
DVOA / DVOA |
| Week 12 |
DVOA Era |
9-3 |
75.00% |
5-7 |
41.70% |
14-10 |
58.30% |
DVOA / DVOA |
| Week 13 |
DVOA Era |
4-8 |
33.30% |
5-7 |
41.70% |
9-15 |
37.50% |
DVOA / DVOA |
| Week 14 |
DVOA Era |
7-6 |
53.80% |
8-5 |
61.50% |
15-11 |
57.70% |
DVOA / DVOA |
| Week 15 |
DVOA Era |
6-8 |
42.90% |
6-8 |
42.90% |
12-16 |
42.90% |
DVOA / DVOA |